Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bastad • Clay • Jul 19, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jesper De Jong
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,357 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,357 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,872 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,872 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong are set to meet at the Bastad on July 19, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 27–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jong has posted a 20–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Carabelli, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.