Sho Shimabukuro vs Rio Noguchi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Granby • Hard • Jul 17, 2025 • 2:35 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Sho Shimabukuro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,291 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,291 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 75% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rio Noguchi
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sho Shimabukuro and Rio Noguchi are set to meet at the Granby on July 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shimabukuro enters with a 31–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Noguchi has posted a 38–31 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shimabukuro entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.