BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu · Match odds & ELO prediction

Los Cabos • Hard • Jul 17, 2025 • 1:10 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Emilio Nava

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emilio Nava

HARD

40% · 46 on hard

CLAY

50% · 1010 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,559 points across 33 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.752% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.716% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.588% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%66% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yunchaokete Bu

HARD

56% · 97 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.136% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.518% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.06% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
25%5% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emilio Nava and Yunchaokete Bu are set to meet at the Los Cabos on July 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nava enters with a 8–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bu has posted a 14–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bu, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Nava leads 2–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Nava and Bu have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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