Varvara Lepchenko vs Giorgia Pedone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • Jul 14, 2025 • 3:55 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Varvara Lepchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Giorgia Pedone
64% · 16–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
33%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~355 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~355 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -7.9 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Lepchenko and Giorgia Pedone are set to meet at the Rome on July 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Lepchenko enters with a 21–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pedone has posted a 27–25 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Lepchenko, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Lepchenko leads 2–0 over Pedone, including a win in their most recent meeting.