Andrea Pellegrino vs Timofey Skatov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bastad • Clay • Jul 14, 2025 • 10:45 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrea Pellegrino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–1 on hard
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Timofey Skatov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Pellegrino and Timofey Skatov are set to meet at the Bastad on July 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Pellegrino enters with a 37–18 record on clay courts in 2025, while Skatov has posted a 22–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pellegrino entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.