Zarina Diyas vs Aliona Falei · Match odds & ELO prediction
Porto • Hard • Jul 14, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Aliona Falei
Key insights
Player performance profile
Zarina Diyas
63% · 27–16 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~127 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~127 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliona Falei
57% · 29–22 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
8 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~534 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~534 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Zarina Diyas and Aliona Falei are set to meet at the Porto on July 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Diyas enters with a 27–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Falei has posted a 29–22 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.


