Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bastad • Clay • Jul 16, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mariano Navone
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariano Navone
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,611 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,611 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 35% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Barrios Vera and Mariano Navone are set to meet at the Bastad on July 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vera enters with a 42–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Navone has posted a 30–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Navone entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Navone leads 4–1 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.