Sofia Shapatava vs Ariana Geerlings Martinez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hamburg • Clay • Jul 13, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ariana Geerlings Martinez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sofia Shapatava
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
8 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
25% · 1–3 on hard
67% · 30–15 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
8 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~268 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~268 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sofia Shapatava and Ariana Geerlings Martinez are set to meet at the Hamburg on July 13, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Shapatava enters with a 30–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Martinez has posted a 30–15 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Martinez, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Martinez leads 1–0 over Shapatava, including a win in their most recent meeting.