Bernard Tomic vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Newport • Grass • Jul 11, 2025 • 6:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Adrian Mannarino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Bernard Tomic
44% · 7–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adrian Mannarino
41% · 7–10 on hard
0% · 0–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,329 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,329 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Bernard Tomic and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Newport on July 11, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Tomic enters with a 5–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Mannarino has posted a 14–6 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mannarino entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mannarino leads 2–1 over Tomic, including a win in their most recent meeting.