Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roberto Bautista-Agut · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Hopman Cup • Clay • Jul 18, 2025 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 68% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roberto Bautista-Agut
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,249 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,249 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Roberto Bautista-Agut are set to meet at the ATP Hopman Cup on July 18, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 3–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bautista-Agut has posted a 6–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Auger-Aliassime entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 4–2 over Bautista-Agut, including a win in their most recent meeting.