Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 11, 2025 • 3:55 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Jannik Sinner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jannik Sinner
93% · 39–3 on hard
85% · 11–2 on clay
89% · 8–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 8.3 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 11, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Sinner enters with a 8–1 record on grass courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 5–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sinner, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 8–2 over Djokovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.