Mingge Xu vs Alena Kovackova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 7, 2025 • 2:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Mingge Xu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mingge Xu
64% · 27–15 on hard
57% · 8–6 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~387 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~387 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alena Kovackova
64% · 14–8 on hard
53% · 9–8 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~331 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~331 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mingge Xu and Alena Kovackova are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 7, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Xu enters with a 8–6 record on grass courts in 2025, while Kovackova has posted a 1–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Xu entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Xu leads 1–0 over Kovackova, including a win in their most recent meeting.