Match analytics

Naoki Nakagawa vs Rei Sakamoto · Match odds & ELO prediction

Winnipeg • Hard • Jul 9, 2025 • 9:30 PM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Rei Sakamoto

Key insights

Player performance profile

Naoki Nakagawa

HARD

42% · 1521 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

0% · 01 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.081% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Rei Sakamoto

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,113 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.359% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.658% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.780% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
71%94% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Naoki Nakagawa and Rei Sakamoto are set to meet at the Winnipeg on July 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nakagawa enters with a 15–21 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sakamoto has posted a 31–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sakamoto entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sakamoto leads 2–0 over Nakagawa, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Nakagawa and Sakamoto alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.