BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Rei Sakamoto vs Liam Draxl · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cary • Hard • Jul 6, 2025 • 6:25 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Rei Sakamoto

Key insights

Player performance profile

Rei Sakamoto

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,171 points across 22 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
2.274% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.634% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.180% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%84% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Liam Draxl

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,385 points across 22 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.713% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.363% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.224% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
38%18% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Rei Sakamoto and Liam Draxl are set to meet at the Cary on July 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakamoto enters with a 31–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Draxl has posted a 38–23 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sakamoto leads 2–1 over Draxl, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Sakamoto and Draxl alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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