Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 7, 2025 • 2:35 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,560 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,560 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.9 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.1 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,636 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,636 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 7, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Shelton enters with a 6–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Sonego has posted a 5–4 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shelton entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 4–1 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.