Stefano Travaglia vs Andrea Pellegrino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jul 4, 2025 • 12:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefano Travaglia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Travaglia
65% · 11–6 on hard
54% · 7–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~877 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~877 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 14% | 1% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–1 on hard
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Travaglia and Andrea Pellegrino are set to meet at the Modena on July 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with a 32–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pellegrino has posted a 37–18 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pellegrino entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.