Stefano Travaglia vs Andrea Pellegrino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jul 4, 2025 • 12:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefano Travaglia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Travaglia
58% · 7–5 on hard
62% · 32–20 on clay
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~282 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~282 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–5 on hard
67% · 37–18 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,140 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,140 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Travaglia and Andrea Pellegrino are set to meet at the Modena on July 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with a 32–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pellegrino has posted a 37–18 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Travaglia entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.