Federico Cina vs Manuel Cerundolo Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jul 4, 2025 • 2:55 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Federico Cina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Cina
65% · 22–12 on hard
53% · 10–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,310 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,310 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -9.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,494 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,494 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.2 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Federico Cina and Manuel Cerundolo Juan are set to meet at the Modena on July 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cina enters with a 10–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Juan has posted a 39–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.


