Elise Mertens vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 4, 2025 • 4:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Elise Mertens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elise Mertens
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,620 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,620 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,843 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,843 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elise Mertens and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 4, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Mertens enters with a 8–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Svitolina has posted a 3–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Svitolina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mertens leads 3–2 over Svitolina, including a win in their most recent meeting.