Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 4, 2025 • 12:45 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adrian Mannarino
41% · 7–10 on hard
0% · 0–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,445 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,445 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 4, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 4–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Mannarino has posted a 14–6 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rublev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 4–1 over Mannarino, including a win in their most recent meeting.