Brandon Nakashima vs Reilly Opelka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 3, 2025 • 2:50 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Brandon Nakashima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,482 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,482 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Reilly Opelka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -9.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Reilly Opelka are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 3, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Nakashima enters with a 6–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Opelka has posted a 7–5 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 3–1 over Opelka, including a win in their most recent meeting.