Maria Mateas vs Lea Ma · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Cary, NC • Hard • Jul 2, 2025 • 2:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Mateas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Mateas
50% · 13–13 on hard
42% · 5–7 on clay
0% · 0–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lea Ma
56% · 18–14 on hard
60% · 6–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Mateas and Lea Ma are set to meet at the W100 Cary, NC on July 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mateas enters with a 13–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ma has posted a 18–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ma entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.