Iga Swiatek vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 3, 2025 • 2:55 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Caty McNally
50% · 8–8 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Caty McNally are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 3, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 10–1 record on grass courts in 2025, while McNally has posted a 6–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 3–0 over McNally, including a win in their most recent meeting.