Rio Noguchi vs Hiroki Moriya · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cary • Hard • Jul 1, 2025 • 10:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Hiroki Moriya
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rio Noguchi
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hiroki Moriya
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Rio Noguchi and Hiroki Moriya are set to meet at the Cary on July 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Noguchi enters with a 38–31 record on hard courts in 2025, while Moriya has posted a 24–24 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Noguchi, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.