Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Manuel Cerundolo Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jul 2, 2025 • 12:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Manuel Cerundolo Juan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Facundo Diaz Acosta
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,616 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,616 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,818 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,818 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Manuel Cerundolo Juan are set to meet at the Modena on July 2, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Acosta enters with a 17–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Juan has posted a 39–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Acosta entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 3–1 over Acosta, including a win in their most recent meeting.