Moez Echargui vs Daniel Bagnolini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jun 30, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Moez Echargui
Key insights
Player performance profile
Moez Echargui
78% · 62–18 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,012 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,012 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +15.4 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Bagnolini
38% · 5–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Moez Echargui and Daniel Bagnolini are set to meet at the Modena on June 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Echargui enters with a 4–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bagnolini has posted a 5–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Echargui entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Echargui leads 1–0 over Bagnolini, including a win in their most recent meeting.