Daria Kasatkina vs Emiliana Arango · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 1, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emiliana Arango
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,508 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,508 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Emiliana Arango are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 1, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 2–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Arango has posted a 0–4 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kasatkina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 2–0 over Arango, including a win in their most recent meeting.