Alexei Popyrin vs Arthur Fery · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 30, 2025 • 11:50 AM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Arthur Fery
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,262 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,262 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Fery
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,907 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,907 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.7 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Arthur Fery are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 30, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 1–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Fery has posted a 4–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Popyrin, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.