Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 30, 2025 • 1:45 PM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Joao Fonseca
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,859 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,859 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,806 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,806 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 30, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 3–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Fonseca has posted a 3–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fonseca, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fonseca leads 3–0 over Fearnley, including a win in their most recent meeting.