Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul · Match odds & ELO prediction
Eastbourne • Grass • Jun 25, 2025 • 3:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daniel Evans
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Evans
41% · 9–13 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
58% · 7–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,978 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,978 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,895 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,895 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Evans and Tommy Paul are set to meet at the Eastbourne on June 25, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Evans enters with a 7–5 record on grass courts in 2025, while Paul has posted a 1–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Evans entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Evans leads 2–1 over Paul, including a win in their most recent meeting.