Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bad Homburg • Grass • Jun 24, 2025 • 12:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
83% · 19–4 on hard
86% · 6–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katerina Siniakova
50% · 7–7 on hard
75% · 3–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,283 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,283 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Katerina Siniakova are set to meet at the Bad Homburg on June 24, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 4–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Siniakova has posted a 7–4 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pegula entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 5–1 over Siniakova, including a win in their most recent meeting.