Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bad Homburg • Grass • Jun 25, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the Bad Homburg on June 25, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 8–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Sakkari has posted a 3–4 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sakkari leads 5–1 over Alexandrova.