Leylah Fernandez vs Jasmine Paolini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bad Homburg • Grass • Jun 24, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jasmine Paolini
53% · 8–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,669 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,669 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Jasmine Paolini are set to meet at the Bad Homburg on June 24, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Fernandez enters with a 4–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Paolini has posted a 3–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Paolini, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fernandez leads 3–2 over Paolini.