Aziz Dougaz vs Sho Shimabukuro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 23, 2025 • 3:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Sho Shimabukuro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aziz Dougaz
61% · 27–17 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,490 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,490 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,291 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,291 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 75% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aziz Dougaz and Sho Shimabukuro are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 23, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Dougaz enters with a 0–1 record on grass courts in 2025, while Shimabukuro has posted a 3–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Shimabukuro, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Shimabukuro leads 2–0 over Dougaz, including a win in their most recent meeting.