Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Halle • Grass • Jun 22, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Bublik and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Halle on June 22, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 5–1 record on grass courts in 2025, while Medvedev has posted a 5–3 mark on grass courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–1 over Bublik.