Leylah Fernandez vs Dayana Yastremska · Match odds & ELO prediction
Nottingham • Grass • Jun 20, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Dayana Yastremska
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,824 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,824 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,738 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,738 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Dayana Yastremska are set to meet at the Nottingham on June 20, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Fernandez enters with a 4–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Yastremska has posted a 8–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Yastremska entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.