Leylah Fernandez vs Dayana Yastremska · Match odds & ELO prediction
Nottingham • Grass • Jun 20, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Dayana Yastremska
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,077 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,077 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 50% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,333 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,333 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Dayana Yastremska are set to meet at the Nottingham on June 20, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Fernandez enters with a 4–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Yastremska has posted a 8–3 mark on grass courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.