Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Draper · Match odds & ELO prediction
London • Grass • Jun 20, 2025 • 12:50 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jack Draper
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jack Draper
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,913 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,913 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Jack Draper are set to meet at the London on June 20, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Nakashima enters with a 6–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Draper has posted a 4–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Draper, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Draper leads 3–1 over Nakashima, including a win in their most recent meeting.