Match analytics
Luca Castagnola vs Lilian Marmousez · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Cattolica • Clay • Jun 17, 2025 • 2:45 PM
Clay
Marmousez holds a clear clay-court advantage on paper, with a significantly higher surface Elo than Castagnola.
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Luca Castagnola
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Castagnola
HARD
46% · 16–19 on hard
CLAY
50% · 13–13 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Lilian Marmousez
HARD
50% · 6–6 on hard
CLAY
80% · 51–13 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Luca Castagnola and Lilian Marmousez are set to meet at the M25 Cattolica on June 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Castagnola enters with a 13–13 record on clay courts in 2025, while Marmousez has posted a 51–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Marmousez entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.
Recent singles form slightly favors Marmousez, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Castagnola has gone 2–3 over the same span.