Paul Jubb vs Jan Choinski · Match odds & ELO prediction
Nottingham • Grass • Jun 15, 2025 • 6:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jan Choinski
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paul Jubb
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~260 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~260 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan Choinski
38% · 6–10 on hard
67% · 31–15 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paul Jubb and Jan Choinski are set to meet at the Nottingham on June 15, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Jubb enters with a 4–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Choinski has posted a 3–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Choinski entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Choinski leads 2–0 over Jubb, including a win in their most recent meeting.