Match analytics

Carlos Taberner vs Jozef Kovalik · Match odds & ELO prediction

Sassuolo • Clay • Jun 17, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Carlos Taberner

Key insights

Player performance profile

Carlos Taberner

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,818 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.112% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.588% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+9.198% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%97% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jozef Kovalik

HARD

25% · 26 on hard

CLAY

44% · 1114 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 11 on grass

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,690 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.615% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.321% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.032% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Carlos Taberner and Jozef Kovalik are set to meet at the Sassuolo on June 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Taberner enters with a 45–24 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kovalik has posted a 11–14 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Taberner leads 3–1 over Kovalik, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Taberner and Kovalik have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.