Match analytics

L. Sun vs Katie Boulter · Match odds & ELO prediction

Nottingham • Grass • Jun 17, 2025 • 12:40 PM

Grass

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Katie Boulter

Key insights

Player performance profile

L. Sun

HARD

23% · 310 on hard

CLAY

38% · 35 on clay

GRASS

40% · 23 on grass

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,112 points across 41 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
-1.4100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.10% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
-1.383% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
43%67% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Katie Boulter

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

40%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,736 points across 39 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.226% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.335% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.829% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
40%28% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

L. Sun and Katie Boulter are set to meet at the Nottingham on June 17, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Sun enters with a 2–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Boulter has posted a 4–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Boulter entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Sun and Boulter alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.