Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marco Trungelliti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lyon • Clay • Jun 15, 2025 • 1:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Marco Trungelliti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,529 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,529 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marco Trungelliti
33% · 4–8 on hard
69% · 42–19 on clay
33% · 1–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,542 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,542 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marco Trungelliti are set to meet at the Lyon on June 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 35–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Trungelliti has posted a 42–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Trungelliti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Trungelliti leads 3–1 over Aguilar.