Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marco Trungelliti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lyon • Clay • Jun 15, 2025 • 1:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Marco Trungelliti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marco Trungelliti
40% · 2–3 on hard
71% · 15–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,842 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,842 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marco Trungelliti are set to meet at the Lyon on June 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 35–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Trungelliti has posted a 42–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Trungelliti, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Trungelliti leads 3–2 over Aguilar.