BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Frances Tiafoe vs Daniel Evans · Match odds & ELO prediction

London • Grass • Jun 16, 2025 • 11:10 AM

Grass

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Daniel Evans

Key insights

Player performance profile

Frances Tiafoe

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,041 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.849% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.561% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.555% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%56% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Daniel Evans

HARD

41% · 913 on hard

CLAY

46% · 67 on clay

GRASS

58% · 75 on grass

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,978 points across 20 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.78% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.757% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.862% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%51% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Frances Tiafoe and Daniel Evans are set to meet at the London on June 16, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Tiafoe enters with a 1–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Evans has posted a 7–5 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tiafoe entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 4–2 over Evans.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tiafoe and Evans have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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