Paula Badosa vs Eva Lys · Match odds & ELO prediction
Berlin • Clay • Jun 16, 2025 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Paula Badosa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Eva Lys
25% · 1–3 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,281 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,281 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paula Badosa and Eva Lys are set to meet at the Berlin on June 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Badosa enters with a 3–2 record on clay courts in 2025, while Lys has posted a 7–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Badosa entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.