Emil Overbeck Carl vs Eero Vasa · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Varnamo • Clay • Jun 12, 2025 • 7:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Eero Vasa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emil Overbeck Carl
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Eero Vasa
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~265 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~265 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emil Overbeck Carl and Eero Vasa are set to meet at the M25 Varnamo on June 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carl enters with a 7–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Vasa has posted a 29–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vasa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Vasa leads 2–0 over Carl, including a win in their most recent meeting.