Mackenzie McDonald vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hertogenbosch • Grass • Jun 11, 2025 • 1:35 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mackenzie McDonald
59% · 32–22 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,168 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,168 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,026 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,026 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.5 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Hertogenbosch on June 11, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. McDonald enters with a 6–5 record on grass courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 8–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Khachanov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 5–0 over McDonald, including a win in their most recent meeting.