Lourdes Carle Maria vs Haruka Kaji · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • Jun 10, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lourdes Carle Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Haruka Kaji
50% · 25–25 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~661 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~661 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Haruka Kaji are set to meet at the Valencia on June 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 26–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kaji has posted a 2–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maria, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 2–0 over Kaji, including a win in their most recent meeting.