Shintaro Mochizuki vs Colton Smith · Match odds & ELO prediction
Ilkley • Grass • Jun 10, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki
Key insights
Player performance profile
Shintaro Mochizuki
25% · 4–12 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,549 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,549 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Colton Smith
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,433 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,433 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Colton Smith are set to meet at the Ilkley on June 10, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Mochizuki enters with a 11–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Smith has posted a 9–5 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mochizuki, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mochizuki leads 2–1 over Smith, including a win in their most recent meeting.