Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stuttgart • Clay • Jun 10, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Arthur Rinderknech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Denis Shapovalov
50% · 6–6 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,383 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,383 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,940 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,940 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.8 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Denis Shapovalov and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the Stuttgart on June 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Shapovalov enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rinderknech has posted a 8–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rinderknech, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.