BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stuttgart • Clay • Jun 10, 2025 • 9:10 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Arthur Rinderknech

Key insights

Player performance profile

Denis Shapovalov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,789 points across 50 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.784% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%70% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Arthur Rinderknech

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,812 points across 66 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.781% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.94% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.958% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
42%29% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Denis Shapovalov and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the Stuttgart on June 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Shapovalov enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rinderknech has posted a 8–10 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent singles form slightly favors Shapovalov, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Rinderknech has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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