BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

F. Fognini vs Corentin Moutet · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stuttgart • Clay • Jun 10, 2025 • 2:00 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Corentin Moutet

Key insights

Player performance profile

F. Fognini

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

CLAY

27% · 38 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 04 on grass

Games won (last 10)

40%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,403 points across 10 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-3.768% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.30% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+0.190% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Corentin Moutet

HARD

58% · 2216 on hard

CLAY

47% · 89 on clay

GRASS

69% · 94 on grass

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,172 points across 65 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.021% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.588% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.672% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%60% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

F. Fognini and Corentin Moutet are set to meet at the Stuttgart on June 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Fognini enters with a 3–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Moutet has posted a 8–9 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Moutet leads 2–0 over Fognini, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Fognini and Moutet alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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