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Match analytics

Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • Jun 6, 2025 • 5:10 PM

Clay

Final score

3 - 0

Winner Jannik Sinner

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jannik Sinner

HARD

93% · 393 on hard

CLAY

85% · 112 on clay

GRASS

89% · 81 on grass

Games won (last 10)

66%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,069 points across 74 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
8.6100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.1100% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.987% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Novak Djokovic

HARD

78% · 257 on hard

CLAY

75% · 93 on clay

GRASS

83% · 51 on grass

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,813 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
6.198% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.890% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.964% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%85% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the French Open on June 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sinner enters with a 11–2 record on clay courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 9–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sinner entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 8–2 over Djokovic.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Sinner and Djokovic have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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